International Journal of Economics and Business Administration
Articles Information
International Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Vol.6, No.4, Dec. 2020, Pub. Date: Oct. 28, 2020
Currency Devaluation Impact on the Economy and Industries of Pakistan
Pages: 127-134 Views: 1075 Downloads: 1394
Authors
[01] Farooq Azam, Hailey College of Commerce, Faculty of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan.
[02] Samreez Safdar, Hailey College of Commerce, Faculty of Commerce, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan.
[03] Muhammad Saad Liaquat, Department of Accountancy, University of London, London, England.
Abstract
The Current account deficit was the highest in the FY 18 compared to FY 17. In the FY 18, the CAD was around 6.3% whereas the CAD in FY 17 was around 4.3%. The exchange rate within Pakistan was declining continuously and the cumulative exchange rate decline was having growth of around 13.6% between July 2018 and March 2019. The value of Rupee against dollar was around 3.2% and the amount was close to Rs.146.52 a dollar in March 2019 and Rs.159 a dollar in July 2019 which made the situation worse. 1% further devaluation means the national debt climbs by Rs. 125 billion. In Pakistan, industries are heavily dependent on imported raw materials for industrial goods, capital goods and components, however, quotas and tariffs block their access to advanced countries. A rise in the price of any component through currency devaluation increases the cost of imports. The exports have not increased to the required level due to decline in industrial base and conversion of economy to a consumer based import economy. Pakistan is occupied by 70% of deserts and this is acting as another factor behind the lack of growth within the economy.
Keywords
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Current Account Deficit (CAD), Exchange Rate, Devaluation, Fiscal Policy, Balance of Payment (BOP), Dollar Reserve
References
[01] Alam, K., (2019). The aftershocks of a fallen rupee. Retrieved 03 September 2019, from https://herald.dawn.com/news/1398843
[02] Awan, R. U., Anjum, A., & Rahim, S. (2015). An econometric analysis of determinants of external debt in Pakistan. British Journal of Economics, Management & Trade, 5 (4), 382-391.
[03] Chaudhry, A. F., Butt, A. R., & Chani, M. I. (2017). Long-Run Relationship between Exports and Imports of Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9 (8), 204- 211.
[04] Dawn (2019). Indus Motor shuts down plant | Dawn News. Retrieved 22 September 2019, from https://www.dawn.com/news/1506271
[05] Economic times. (2019). Pakistan rupee drops in likely devaluation after IMF bailout. Retrieved 1 September 2019, from https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/forex/pakistan-rupee-drops-in-likely-devaluation-after-imf-bailout/articleshow/69360517.cms?from=mdr
[06] Emerging Pakistan. (2019). Pakistan Targets First Export Jump in Four Years on Tax Breaks
[07] EmergingPakistan.Retrieved23September2019,from http://emergingpakistan.gov.pk/pakistan-targets-first-export-jump-in-four-years-on-tax-breaks/
[08] Energy & Mining Statistics | Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. (2019). Retrieved 1 September 2019, from http://www.pbs.gov.pk/content/energy-mining-statistics
[09] External Trade Statistical Data at 8-Digit Level Year 1990-1991 to 2017-2018 | Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. (2019). Retrieved 1 September 2019, from http://www.pbs.gov.pk/node/1358
[10] ft.com. (2019). Pakistan’s currency plunges 5% in suspected devaluation | Financial Times. Retrieved 1 September 2019, from https://www.ft.com/content/2bf2e10c-f474-11e8-9623-d7f9881e729f
[11] Haque, A. (2019). Devaluation is not the answer of Pakistan. Retrieved 4 September 2019, from https://tribune.com.pk/story/2014770/6-devaluation-not-answer-pakistan/
[12] Hyder, K. (2019). Pakistan IMF deal: Rupee to be devalued against dollar. Retrieved 1 September 2019, from https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/05/pakistan-imf-deal-rupee-devalued-dollar-190521111147765.html
[13] jworldtimes. (2019). Industrial Sector in Pakistan. Retrieved 8 September 2019, from http://jworldtimes.com/magazine-archives/jwtmag2018/october2018/industrial-sector-in-pakistan/
[14] Khan, U. E., Siddiqui, A. H., Zahid, M. U., &Uroos, A. (2018). Impact of Devaluation on Balance of Trade: A Context of Neighboring Countries. Journal of Finance and Economics Research, 3 (2), 68-77.
[15] Khan, Z., Ali, A., & Ali, S. (2016). Impact of Devaluation on Balance of Trade: A Case Study of Pakistan Economy. Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 4 (2), 90-94.
[16] Mangi, F. (2018). Pakistan Devalues Rupee Fifth Time This Year Amid IMF Talks. Retrieved 23 September 2019, from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-30/pakistan-s-rupee-falls-in-apparent-devaluation-amid-imf-talks
[17] Mangi, F., Haider, K., &Dilawar, I. (2018). Pakistan Budget Deficit May Widen as Fiscal Crisis Deepens. Retrieved 23 September 2019, from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-18/pakistan-s-budget-deficit-may-widen-as-financial-crisis-deepens
[18] Mohmand, Y. T., Salman, A., Mughal, K. S., Imran, M., & Makarevic, N. (2015). Export potentials of Pakistan: Evidence from the gravity model of trade. European Journal of Economic Studies, (4), 212-220.
[19] NAWAZ SHEIKH, A. H. S. A. N., & Siddiqui, D. A. (2019). Effects of Textile Policy on Profitability and Dividend Payout Ratio of Textile Industry in Pakistan. Sheikh, AN, and Siddiqui, DA (2019). Effects of Textile Policy on Profitability and Dividend Payout Ratio of Textile Industry in Pakistan. European Academic Research, 7 (2), 940-967.
[20] RANA, S (2019). Govt. misses deadlines to put CPEC projects on time | The Express Tribune. Retrieved 1 September 2019, from https://tribune.com.pk/story/2055994/2-govt-misses-deadlines-put-cpec-projects-track/
[21] Sattar, S., (2019). Impact of PKR depreciation on exports | Business Recorder. Retrieved 5 September 2019, from https://fp.brecorder.com/2019/01/20190110438458/
[22] worldbank.org.(2019).Overview.Retrieved1September2019,from https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/pakistan/overview#2
[23] Arrfat, Yasir. Aligning the Global Value Chains of China and Pakistan in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative, and China Pakistan Economic Corridor. (book auth.) Syed Jawad and Yung Hsiang Ying. China’s Belt and Road Initiative in a Global Context. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, 2020.
[24] Bank, The World. share_of_industry. https://www.theglobaleconomy.com. (Online) NA 01, 2019. (Cited: 08 26, 2020.) https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Pakistan/share_of_industry/. NA.
[25] Reddit. bpbkll. https://www.reddit.com. [Online] NA NA, 2019. (Cited: August 25, 2020.) https://www.reddit.com/r/pakistan/comments/bpbkll/pakistans_exports_and_imports_over_the_years/.NA.
[26] Finance, Ministry of. Economic Survey of Pakistan. Islamabad: State Bank of Pakistan, 2019. NA.
600 ATLANTIC AVE, BOSTON,
MA 02210, USA
+001-6179630233
AIS is an academia-oriented and non-commercial institute aiming at providing users with a way to quickly and easily get the academic and scientific information.
Copyright © 2014 - American Institute of Science except certain content provided by third parties.